Evaluating the drivers of international migration from the Northern Triangle of Central America and its implications for land systems in the region
Project Start Date
01/01/2021
Project End Date
06/29/2025
Science Theme Name
Region
Solicitation
Distribution of Project Team Members Institutions
Principal Investigator
Co-Investigator
Collaborator
Postdoc Researcher
Graduate Student Researcher
Other
Team Members:
| Person Name | Person role on project | Affiliation |
|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Cuba | Principal Investigator | Auburn University, , United States |
| Laura Sauls | Co-Investigator | Clark University , Worcester , USA |
| Susan Kandel | Collaborator | Fundacion PRISMA , San Salvador , El Salvador |
| Rafael Corrales | Collaborator | Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras, Tegucigalpa , Honduras |
Abstract
Population flows from the Northern Triangle (NT) of Central America (Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras) to the United States have increased substantially in the past decade, precipitating humanitarian, social, economic and political crises in the NT, Mexico, and USA. This project will integrate social science and analysis of remotely sensed data to investigate the relationship between migration, environmental change, and land cover/land use change (LCLUC) in the NT in the recent past and near-term future, addressing three objectives: 1) Derive agricultural LCLUC metrics related to landscape composition and configuration, and evaluate their spatial and temporal differentiation in the NT over the past decade alongside that of measures of outmigration; 2) Identify factors that drive changes to either agricultural LCLUC or outmigration within target communities and evaluate their strength and significance; and 3) Scale up driver-informed models of migration-related LCLUC to predict and monitor ongoing changes to NT land systems
Project Research Area