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The Role of Land-Cover Change in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia in Altering Regional Hydrological Processes Under a Changing Climate
Project Start Date
01/01/2004
Project End Date
01/01/2007
Project Call Name
Regional_Initiative_Name
Solicitation

Team Members:

Person Name Person role on project Affiliation
Jefferson Fox Principal Investigator East-West Center, Honolulu, US
Abstract

MMSEA is experiencing major land-use change as subsistence farmers transition from shifting cultivation, which tends to maintain large areas of secondary forest, to commercial agriculture. Rubber is the major commercial crop replacing secondary forests, a direct result of strong market demands from China. Under a previous grant from NASA we documented that the timing and amount of water use by rubber during the dry season differs dramatically from that of secondary forest and traditional agriculture in the region. Others have shown that conversion of forest to plantation agriculture in other regions results in significant changes in stored carbon. Our objectives are to determine how the conversion from existing land covers to rubber affects local energy, water, and carbon fluxes, how extensive rubber will become in MMSEA, and what the consequences will be for regional hydrology and carbon sequestration. To characterize the extent of rubber in MMSEA, we will develop land-cover/use (LCLU) time-series maps for emerging, rubber-growing sites in MMSEA using knowledge-based classification of multi-sensor, multi-date remotely sensed imagery with a focus on identifying rubber cultivation as a distinct land use among forests, grasslands and other types of agriculture. Expansion of rubber to 2050 will be simulated by combining a regional suitability model for rubber with a dynamic, spatially-explicit, land cover/use change (LCLUC) model. We will use eddy covariance to measure water and carbon fluxes over rubber and secondary vegetation. The Ecosystem Demography model, parameterized by satellite-derived LCLU and observations of stand characteristics, including ground-based LiDAR, and calibrated by flux measurements, will be used to develop spatially-distributed estimates of water and carbon fluxes throughout MMSEA. This proposal is directly responsive to the goals stated in the NRA "to further understanding of the consequences of LCLUC on the carbon and water cycles" and directly relevant to the Monsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study.

Деякі кредитні організації вимагають обов’язкове надання паспорта та ідентифікаційного коду для оформлення позики. Це може стати серйозною перешкодою для тих, хто не має змоги надати ці документи або просто не хоче проходити додаткові перевірки. У таких випадках оптимальним рішенням стане кредит без ІПН та паспорта, який можна отримати без надання особистих документів. Процедура подачі заявки відбувається онлайн, а рішення ухвалюється автоматично на основі базових даних позичальника. Гроші надходять на картку одразу після схвалення, що дозволяє швидко вирішити фінансові питання. Це чудова можливість отримати необхідну суму без бюрократії, складних перевірок і очікування.
Project Documents

Project Documents

Year Type Title
2014 Publications Ziegler, A. D., S.G. Benner, C. Tantasirin, S.H. Wood, R.A. Sutherland, R. C. Sidle, R. C., N. Jachowski, M.A. Nullet, L. X. Xi, A. Snidvongs, T. W. Giambelluca, and J.M. Fox. 2014. Turbidity-based sediment monitoring in northern Thailand: Hysteresis, variability, and uncertainty. Journal of Hydrology. 519: 2020-2039.
2012 Publications Ziegler, A.D., J. Phelps, J.Q. Yuen, E.L. Webb, D. Lawrence, J.M. Fox, T.B. Bruun, S.J. Leisz, C. Ryan, W. Dressler, O. Mertz, U. Pascual, C. Padoch, L.P. Koh . 2012. Carbon outcomes of major land-cover transitions in SE Asia: Great uncertainties and REDD+ policy implications. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02747.x
2011 Publications Sen, O.L., J. Fox, J.B Vogler, T.W. Giambelluca and A.D. Ziegler. (submitted Nov 2010). The role of land-cover change in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia in altering regional hydrological processes. Climatic Change.
2011 Publications Sen, O., J. Fox, J. Vogler, T. Giambelluca, and A. Ziegler. In Preparation. Climatic effects of projected anthropogenic changes in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia. Part I: Land-cover and land-use change.
2011 Publications Sen, O., J. Fox, J. Vogler, T. Giambelluca, and A. Ziegler. In preparation. Climatic effects of projected anthropogenic changes in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia: Part II: Global warming simulations
2011 Publications Ziegler, A.D., J. Phelps, E.L. Webb, D. Lawrence, T.B. Bruun, C. Ryan, S. Leisz, O. Mertz, U. Pascual, L.P. Koh, W. Dressler, J. Fox, C. Padoch, L.P. Koh. Submitted. Uncertainty in carbon stock changes. Global Change Biology.
2011 Publications Ziegler, A.D., J. Fox, E.L. Webb, C. Padoch, S. Leisz, R.A. Cramb, O. Mertz, T.T. Bruun, Tran Duc Vien. 2011. Recognizing contemporary roles of swidden agriculture in transforming landscapes of Southeast Asia. Conservation Biology (in press 2011).
2010 Publications Sidle R.C. and A.D. Ziegler. 2010. Elephant trail runoff and sediment dynamics in northern Thailand. Journal of Environmental Quality: 39-871–881. doi:10.2134/jeq2009.0218
2010 Publications Wang, Y.C., T.Y. Chang, and Y.A. Liou. 2010. Terrain correction for increasing the evapotranspiration estimation accuracy in a mountainous watershed. IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters 7(2):352-356.
2009 Publications Ziegler, A.D., T.B. Bruun, M. Guardiola-Claramonte, T.W. Giambelluca, D. Lawrence, Nguyen Thanh Lam. 2009. Environmental Consequences of the Demise in Swidden Agriculture in SE Asia: Hydrology and Geomorphology. Human Ecology 37: 361-373. DOI 10.1007/s10745-009-9258-x
2009 Publications Rerkasem, K., D. Lawrence, C. Padoch, D. Schmidt-Vogt, A.D. Ziegler. 2009. Consequences of swidden transitions for crop and fallow biodiversity. Human Ecology 37: 347-360. DOI 10.1007/s10745-009-9250-5
2008 Publications Guardiola-Claramonte, M., P. Troch, A. Ziegler, T. Giambelluca, J. Vogler, and M. Nullet. 2008. Local hydrologic effects of introducing non-native vegetation in a tropical catchment. Ecohydrology. 1: 13–22.
2008 Publications Wood, S.H. and A.D. Ziegler. 2008. Floodplain sediment from recent 50-year-recurrence floods of the Ping River in northern Thailand. Hydrology and Earth Systems Science 12: 959-973.
2007 Poster Presentation The Role of Land-Cover Change in MMSEA in Altering Regional Hydrological Processes Under a Changing Climate
2006 Publications Lebel, L. (2006) Multi-level scenarios for exploring alternative futures for upper tributary watersheds in Mainland Southeast Asia. Mountain Research and Development 26 3), 263-273.
2006 Publications Xu, J., J. Fox, D. Melick, Y. Fujita, A. Jintrawet, Q. Jie, D. Thomas, and H. Weyerhaeuser. 2006. Land use transition, livelihoods, and environmental services in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia. Mountain Research and Development 26(3):278-284.
2005 NASA LCLUC Science Team Presentation The Role of Land-Cover Change in Montane Mainland SE Asia in Alterning Regional Hydrological Processes Under a Changing Climate
2005 Publications Fox, J. and J. Vogler. 2005. Land-use and Land-cover Change in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia. Environmental Management. 36 (3): 394-403
2004 Annual Progress Report The role of land-cover change in montane mainland Southeast Asia in altering regional hydrological processes under a changing climate

Project Documents

Year Type Title
2016 Publications Giambelluca, T.W., R.G. Mudd, W. Liu, A.D. Ziegler, N. Kobayashi, T. Kumagai, Y. Miyazawa, T. K. Lim, M. Huang, J. Fox, S. Yin, S. V. Mak, P. Kasemsap. 2016. Evapotranspiration of rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) cultivated at two plantation sites in Southeast Asia. Water Resources Journal. DOI: 10.1002/2015WR017755
2015 Publications Kumagai, T., R.G. Mudd, T. Giambelluca, N. Kobayashi, Y. Miyazawa, T. K. Lim, W. Liu, M. Huang, J. Fox, A. Ziegler, S. Yin, S. V. Mak, P. Kasemsap. 2015. How do rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) plantations behave under seasonal water stress in northeastern Thailand and central Cambodia? Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 213: 10-22.
2014 Publications Fox, J. 2014. The production of forests: Tree cover transitions in Northern Thailand, Northern Laos, and Southern China. In Hecht, S., K. Morrison, and C. Padoch (Eds). The Social Life of Forests. University of Chicago Press. Chicago.
2014 Publications Fox, J., J. B. Vogler, O.L. Sen, A. L. Ziegler and T. W. Giambelluca. 2014. Regional Scenarios and Simulated Land-Cover Changes in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia. In A. K. Braimoh, and H.Q. He (Eds). Vulnerability of Land Systems in Asia. John Wiley & Sons
2014 Publications Finucane, M., J. Fox, S. Saksena, and J. Spencer. 2014. A conceptual framework for analzing social-ecological models of emerging infectious disease. In Manfredo, M., A. Rechkemmer and J. Vaske (Eds). Understanding Society and Natural Resources: Forging new Strands of Integration Across the Social Sciences. New York: Springer.
2013 Publications Lestrelin, G., J.C. Castella, and J. Fox. 2013. Forest transitions in Southeast Asia: Synergies and shortcomings in land-change science and political ecology. In C. Brannstrom and J. M. Vadjunec (Eds). Land Change Science, Political Ecology, and Sustainability Science: Synergies and Divergences. Earthscan/Routledge.
2012 Publications Fox, J., J.B. Vogler, O.L. Sen, T. Giambelluca, and A. Ziegler. 2012. Simulating land-cover change in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia. Environmental Management 49 (4): 968- 979. http:/dx.DOI 10.1007/s00267-012-9828-3.
2012 Publications Ziegler, A.D., J. Phelps, J.Q. Yuen, E.L. Webb, D. Lawrence, J.M. Fox, T.B. Bruun, S.J. Leisz, C. Ryan, W. Dressler, O. Mertz, U. Pascual, C. Padoch, L.P. Koh . 2012. Carbon outcomes of major land-cover transitions in SE Asia: Great uncertainties and REDD+ policy implications. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02747.x
2012 Publications Sen, O.L., D. Bozkurt, J.B. Vogler, J. Fox, T.W. Giambelluca and A.D. Ziegler. 2012. Hydro- climatic effects of future land-cover and land-use change in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia. Climate Change. DOI 10.1007/s10584-012-0632-0
2011 Publications Evans, T.P., K. Phanvilay, J. Fox, and J. Vogler. 2011. An agent-based model of agricultural innovation, land-cover change and household inequality: the transition from swidden cultivation to rubber plantations in Laos PDR. Journal of Land Use Science.
2010 Publications Guardiola-Claramonte, M., J. Fox, T. Giambelluca, and P. Troch. 2010. Changing Land Use in the Golden Triangle: Where the Rubber Meets the Road. J. Roumasset, K. Burnett, and A. Balisacan (eds.) Sustainability Science for Watershed Landscapes. Singapore: ISEAS Publishing.
Year Type Title
2014 Publications Ziegler, A. D., S.G. Benner, C. Tantasirin, S.H. Wood, R.A. Sutherland, R. C. Sidle, R. C., N. Jachowski, M.A. Nullet, L. X. Xi, A. Snidvongs, T. W. Giambelluca, and J.M. Fox. 2014. Turbidity-based sediment monitoring in northern Thailand: Hysteresis, variability, and uncertainty. Journal of Hydrology. 519: 2020-2039.
2012 Publications Ziegler, A.D., J. Phelps, J.Q. Yuen, E.L. Webb, D. Lawrence, J.M. Fox, T.B. Bruun, S.J. Leisz, C. Ryan, W. Dressler, O. Mertz, U. Pascual, C. Padoch, L.P. Koh . 2012. Carbon outcomes of major land-cover transitions in SE Asia: Great uncertainties and REDD+ policy implications. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02747.x
2011 Publications Sen, O.L., J. Fox, J.B Vogler, T.W. Giambelluca and A.D. Ziegler. (submitted Nov 2010). The role of land-cover change in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia in altering regional hydrological processes. Climatic Change.
2011 Publications Sen, O., J. Fox, J. Vogler, T. Giambelluca, and A. Ziegler. In Preparation. Climatic effects of projected anthropogenic changes in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia. Part I: Land-cover and land-use change.
2011 Publications Sen, O., J. Fox, J. Vogler, T. Giambelluca, and A. Ziegler. In preparation. Climatic effects of projected anthropogenic changes in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia: Part II: Global warming simulations
2011 Publications Ziegler, A.D., J. Phelps, E.L. Webb, D. Lawrence, T.B. Bruun, C. Ryan, S. Leisz, O. Mertz, U. Pascual, L.P. Koh, W. Dressler, J. Fox, C. Padoch, L.P. Koh. Submitted. Uncertainty in carbon stock changes. Global Change Biology.
2011 Publications Ziegler, A.D., J. Fox, E.L. Webb, C. Padoch, S. Leisz, R.A. Cramb, O. Mertz, T.T. Bruun, Tran Duc Vien. 2011. Recognizing contemporary roles of swidden agriculture in transforming landscapes of Southeast Asia. Conservation Biology (in press 2011).
2010 Publications Sidle R.C. and A.D. Ziegler. 2010. Elephant trail runoff and sediment dynamics in northern Thailand. Journal of Environmental Quality: 39-871–881. doi:10.2134/jeq2009.0218
2010 Publications Wang, Y.C., T.Y. Chang, and Y.A. Liou. 2010. Terrain correction for increasing the evapotranspiration estimation accuracy in a mountainous watershed. IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters 7(2):352-356.
2009 Publications Ziegler, A.D., T.B. Bruun, M. Guardiola-Claramonte, T.W. Giambelluca, D. Lawrence, Nguyen Thanh Lam. 2009. Environmental Consequences of the Demise in Swidden Agriculture in SE Asia: Hydrology and Geomorphology. Human Ecology 37: 361-373. DOI 10.1007/s10745-009-9258-x
2009 Publications Rerkasem, K., D. Lawrence, C. Padoch, D. Schmidt-Vogt, A.D. Ziegler. 2009. Consequences of swidden transitions for crop and fallow biodiversity. Human Ecology 37: 347-360. DOI 10.1007/s10745-009-9250-5
2008 Publications Guardiola-Claramonte, M., P. Troch, A. Ziegler, T. Giambelluca, J. Vogler, and M. Nullet. 2008. Local hydrologic effects of introducing non-native vegetation in a tropical catchment. Ecohydrology. 1: 13–22.
2008 Publications Wood, S.H. and A.D. Ziegler. 2008. Floodplain sediment from recent 50-year-recurrence floods of the Ping River in northern Thailand. Hydrology and Earth Systems Science 12: 959-973.
2007 Poster Presentation The Role of Land-Cover Change in MMSEA in Altering Regional Hydrological Processes Under a Changing Climate
2006 Publications Lebel, L. (2006) Multi-level scenarios for exploring alternative futures for upper tributary watersheds in Mainland Southeast Asia. Mountain Research and Development 26 3), 263-273.
2006 Publications Xu, J., J. Fox, D. Melick, Y. Fujita, A. Jintrawet, Q. Jie, D. Thomas, and H. Weyerhaeuser. 2006. Land use transition, livelihoods, and environmental services in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia. Mountain Research and Development 26(3):278-284.
2005 NASA LCLUC Science Team Presentation The Role of Land-Cover Change in Montane Mainland SE Asia in Alterning Regional Hydrological Processes Under a Changing Climate
2005 Publications Fox, J. and J. Vogler. 2005. Land-use and Land-cover Change in Montane Mainland Southeast Asia. Environmental Management. 36 (3): 394-403
2004 Annual Progress Report The role of land-cover change in montane mainland Southeast Asia in altering regional hydrological processes under a changing climate