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Land Use - Ecosystem - Climate Interactions in Monsoon Asia
Project Start Date
05/01/2008
Project End Date
04/30/2012
Project Call Name
Regional_Initiative_Name
Solicitation

Team Members:

Person Name Person role on project Affiliation
Hanqin Tian Principal Investigator Auburn University, Auburn, United States
Abstract

Monsoon Asia is a region of Asia that comprises over half the world’s population, consisting of 20 countries in South, Southeast and East Asia. This area is controlled by monsoon climate which is of crucial importance to Asia mainly because it brings the water that supports human life, plants and animals. In the past decades, this region has experienced one of the most rapid changes and is likely to undergo further rapid development in the coming years. Land-cover and land-use changes (LCLUC) in Monsoon Asia are being powered by demand for food for its growing population, a large demand for bioenergy for its economic development and by the transition from a largely rural society to one in which more than half of its people are expected to live in cities within two decades. People want to use land for energy, to live and for food, so all are competing for land. There is a rapidly increasing concern that land cover and land use changes are expected to have significant impact on the variability and intensity of the Asian monsoon and further influence the provision of goods and services by terrestrial ecosystems in the region. The goals of this project are to understand complex interactions among land use, ecosystem and climate and to evaluate the impacts of current and projected LCLUC on climate, water and carbon cycling in the region of Monsoon Asia in the first half of 21st century. Our strategy to pursue our goals involves the following major objectives: 1) We will develop and use an Integrated Regional Earth System Model (IRESM) that will include an enhanced dynamic land ecosystem model (DLEM), a newly developed regional climate model, an extant economic model, and an improved land use model. 2) We will evaluate and validate IRESM against ground and satellite observations. 3) In support of this work, we will develop and refine a 30 km gridded dataset for Monsoon Asia by using a combination of ground- and satellite-based observations. This dataset will include information on LCLUC, climate, chemistry of the atmosphere and precipitation, and fires. 4) We will assess regional fluxes of carbon and water across monsoon Asia in the 20th century, and understand the mechanisms that affect these fluxes. 5) We will assess to what extent LCLUC has modulated and will modulate the Asia monsoon climate in the past and future, and how the changed monsoon climate will influence LCLUC in this region in the first half of 21st century. 6) We will propagate and calculate the sensitivities of the IRESM to major inputs and model parameters, and use those sensitivities to quantify uncertainties in the system results. This research will be done in a fully collaborative fashion with a team of scientists from both US institutions and Asian countries in the region. Together, we will develop the input databases, conduct model simulations, and evaluate the results. Our preliminary analysis indicates that there has been a dramatic land transformation across the region in the past 300 years. Cropland and urban areas increased by 288% and 243% respectively, while forest and grassland areas decreased by 23% and 10% respectively. As estimated by the dynamic land ecosystem model (DLEM), LCLUC has resulted in a large amount of carbon release from terrestrial ecosystems to the atmosphere (See figure) and led to a large reduction of water yield over the region during 1700- 2005. Our simulated results indicate that LCLUC-induced changes in both carbon storage and water yield show substantial spatial variation across the region. Most of these changes have occurred since the beginning of the 20th century.

Project Documents

Project Documents

Year Type Title
2011 Publications Hui D., H.Q. Tian, Y. Luo. 2011. Impacts of Climatic Changes on Biogeochemical Cycling in Terrestrial Ecosystems. Chapter 18. Chen, W.-Y. Seiner, J. Suzuki, T. Lackner, M. (Eds.) Handbook of Climate Change Mitigation, ISBN: 978-1-4419-7990-2, Springer
2011 Publications Mao, H.Q., X. D. Yan, Z. Xiong, H.Q. Tian 2011. Modeled impact of irrigation on regional climate in India, Acta Ecological Sinica, 2011(2)
2011 Publications Tian HQ, Melillo J, Lu CQ, Kicklighter D, Liu ML, Ren W, Xu XF, Chen GS, Zhang C, Pan SF, Liu JY and Running S. China’s terrestrial carbon balance: Contribution from multiple global change factors. Global Biogeochemical Cycles (in press).
2011 Publications Tian, HQ, X. Xu, M. Liu, C. Lu, W. Ren, G. Chen, J. Melillo and J. Liu. Net exchanges of CO2, CH4, and N2O between China’s terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere and their contributions to global climate warming. Journal of Geophysical Research (in press).
2011 Publications Ren, W., Tian, HQ, Xu, XF, Liu ML, Lu CQ, Chen GS, Mellio J., Reilly John, Liu, JY (2011) Spatial and temporal patterns of CO2 and CH4 fluxes in China’s croplands in response to multifactor environmental changes, Tellus B DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0889.2010.00522.x
2011 Publications Tian HQ, Lu CQ, Chen GS, Xu XF, Liu ML, Ren W, Tao B, Sun G, Pan SF and Liu JY. Controls of climate and land use over terrestrial water use efficiency in monsoon Asia during the late half 20th Century. Ecohydrology (In review).
2011 Publications Ren, W., Tian, H., Tao, B., Chappelka, A., Sun, G., Lu, C.Q., Liu, M.L., Chen, G.S., Xu, X.F. (2011) Impacts of tropospheric ozone and climate change on net primary productivity and net carbon exchange of China’s forest ecosystems. Global Ecology and Biogeography. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8283.2010.00606.x
2011 Publications Tian, HQ, GS Chen, C. Zhang, JM Melillo and C Hall. 2011. Pattern and variation of C:N:P ratios in China’s soils: A synthesis of observational data. Biogeochemistry 98:139-151.
2011 Publications Xu, X. and H.Q. Tian 2011. Methane exchange between marshland and the atmosphere over China during 1949-2008. Global Biogeochemical Cycles (submitted).
2011 Publications Lu CQ, HQ Tian, ML Liu, W. Ren, XF Xu, GS Chen and C. Zhang. Effects of nitrogen deposition on carbon sequestration in terrestrial ecosystems of China. Ecological Application (In revision)
2011 Publications Mao, H.Q., Y.D. Yan, Z. Xiong, H.Q. Tian 2011. An overview of land use change impacts on climate, Climatic and Environmental Research, 2011(2)
2011 Publications Song, X., H. Tian, X. Xu, and W. and Zhu. Comparison of remote sensing and a process-based ecosystem model in estimating gross primary production of a temperate forest in northeastern China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (submitted).
2010 NASA LCLUC Science Team Presentation From vulnerability to sustainability: a study of sustainable development in the context of climate and institutional change in rural China
2010 Publications Lu, D., X. Xu, H.Q. Tian, E. Moran, M. Zhao and S. Running. 2010. Effects of Urbanization on Net Primary Productivity in Southeastern China. Environmental Management DOI 10.1007/s00267-010-9542-y
2010 Publications Tian, HQ, M. Liu, C. Zhang, W. Ren, X. Xu, G. Chen, C. Lu and B. Tao. 2010. The dynamic land ecosystem model (DLEM) for simulating terrestrial processes and interactions in the context of multifactor global change. Acta Geographical Science, 65(9), 1027-1047.
2010 Publications Liu, M., and H.Q. Tian (2010), China's land cover and land use change from 1700 to 2005: Estimations from high-resolution satellite data and historical archives, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 24, GB3003, doi:10.1029/2009GB003687.
2010 Publications Tao B., H., Tian, G., Chen, W., Ren, C., Lu, K., Alley, X., Xu, M., Liu, S., Pan and H., Virji. Changes in carbon fluxes and pools induced by cropland expansion in South and Southeast Asia in the 20th century, 2010. Journal of Land Use Science (in review).
2009 Publications Song, C., Xu, X., Tian, H., Wang, Y., 2009. Ecosystem-atmosphere exchange of CH4 and N2O and ecosystem respiration in wetlands in the Sanjiang Plain, Northeastern China. Global Change Biology 15 692-705.
2009 NASA LCLUC Science Team Presentation Land Use –Ecosystem –Climate Interactions in Monsoon Asia: Evaluating the impacts of current and projected LCLUC on climate, water and carbon cycling in the first half of 21st Century
2008 Publications Liu, M.L., H.Q. Tian, G.S. Chen, C. Zhang, and J.Y. Liu (2008), Effects of land use and land cover change on evapotranspiration and water yield in China during the 20th century. J. Am. Water Resources Assoc. 44, 1193-1207.
2008 Publications Xu, X., Tian, H., Hui, D., 2008. Convergence in the relationship of CO2 and N2O exchanges between soil and atmosphere within terrestrial ecosystems. Global Change Biology 14(7) 1651-1660.
2008 Publications Lu, D., H.Q. Tian, G. Zhou, H. Ge. 2008. Regional mapping of human settlements with multisensory remotely sensed data. Remote Sensing of Environment 112:3668-3679.
2008 Publications Tian, H., J. Liu, J. M. Melillo, M. Liu, D. Kicklighter, X. Yan and S. Pan. 2008. The Terrestrial Carbon Budget in East Asia: Human and Natural Impacts. In: C. Fu, J. Freney and J. Steward (eds). Changes in the Human-Monsoon System of East Asia in the Context of Global Change. World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte.Ltd., Singapore, Hackensack, London. Pp. 163-176
2008 Publications Tian, HQ. X. Xu, C. Zhang, W. Ren, G. Chen, M. Liu, D. Lu and S. Pan. (2008) Forecasting and Assessing the Large-scale and Long-term Impacts of Global Environmental Change on Terrestrial Ecosystems in the United States and China. In: S. Miao, S. Carstenn, and M. Nungesser (Eds), Real World Ecology: large-scale and long-term case studies and methods. Springer-Verlag, New York. Pp. 235-266.
2005 Publications Liu, M., H.Q. Tian, G.S. Chen, W. Ren, C. Lu and X. Xu. Spatial and Temporal Variations of Water Fluxes in the Eastern China During 1961-2005. To be submitted to J. of Hydrology.
Year Type Title
2011 Publications Hui D., H.Q. Tian, Y. Luo. 2011. Impacts of Climatic Changes on Biogeochemical Cycling in Terrestrial Ecosystems. Chapter 18. Chen, W.-Y. Seiner, J. Suzuki, T. Lackner, M. (Eds.) Handbook of Climate Change Mitigation, ISBN: 978-1-4419-7990-2, Springer
2011 Publications Mao, H.Q., X. D. Yan, Z. Xiong, H.Q. Tian 2011. Modeled impact of irrigation on regional climate in India, Acta Ecological Sinica, 2011(2)
2011 Publications Tian HQ, Melillo J, Lu CQ, Kicklighter D, Liu ML, Ren W, Xu XF, Chen GS, Zhang C, Pan SF, Liu JY and Running S. China’s terrestrial carbon balance: Contribution from multiple global change factors. Global Biogeochemical Cycles (in press).
2011 Publications Tian, HQ, X. Xu, M. Liu, C. Lu, W. Ren, G. Chen, J. Melillo and J. Liu. Net exchanges of CO2, CH4, and N2O between China’s terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere and their contributions to global climate warming. Journal of Geophysical Research (in press).
2011 Publications Ren, W., Tian, HQ, Xu, XF, Liu ML, Lu CQ, Chen GS, Mellio J., Reilly John, Liu, JY (2011) Spatial and temporal patterns of CO2 and CH4 fluxes in China’s croplands in response to multifactor environmental changes, Tellus B DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0889.2010.00522.x
2011 Publications Tian HQ, Lu CQ, Chen GS, Xu XF, Liu ML, Ren W, Tao B, Sun G, Pan SF and Liu JY. Controls of climate and land use over terrestrial water use efficiency in monsoon Asia during the late half 20th Century. Ecohydrology (In review).
2011 Publications Ren, W., Tian, H., Tao, B., Chappelka, A., Sun, G., Lu, C.Q., Liu, M.L., Chen, G.S., Xu, X.F. (2011) Impacts of tropospheric ozone and climate change on net primary productivity and net carbon exchange of China’s forest ecosystems. Global Ecology and Biogeography. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8283.2010.00606.x
2011 Publications Tian, HQ, GS Chen, C. Zhang, JM Melillo and C Hall. 2011. Pattern and variation of C:N:P ratios in China’s soils: A synthesis of observational data. Biogeochemistry 98:139-151.
2011 Publications Xu, X. and H.Q. Tian 2011. Methane exchange between marshland and the atmosphere over China during 1949-2008. Global Biogeochemical Cycles (submitted).
2011 Publications Lu CQ, HQ Tian, ML Liu, W. Ren, XF Xu, GS Chen and C. Zhang. Effects of nitrogen deposition on carbon sequestration in terrestrial ecosystems of China. Ecological Application (In revision)
2011 Publications Mao, H.Q., Y.D. Yan, Z. Xiong, H.Q. Tian 2011. An overview of land use change impacts on climate, Climatic and Environmental Research, 2011(2)
2011 Publications Song, X., H. Tian, X. Xu, and W. and Zhu. Comparison of remote sensing and a process-based ecosystem model in estimating gross primary production of a temperate forest in northeastern China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (submitted).
2010 NASA LCLUC Science Team Presentation From vulnerability to sustainability: a study of sustainable development in the context of climate and institutional change in rural China
2010 Publications Lu, D., X. Xu, H.Q. Tian, E. Moran, M. Zhao and S. Running. 2010. Effects of Urbanization on Net Primary Productivity in Southeastern China. Environmental Management DOI 10.1007/s00267-010-9542-y
2010 Publications Tian, HQ, M. Liu, C. Zhang, W. Ren, X. Xu, G. Chen, C. Lu and B. Tao. 2010. The dynamic land ecosystem model (DLEM) for simulating terrestrial processes and interactions in the context of multifactor global change. Acta Geographical Science, 65(9), 1027-1047.
2010 Publications Liu, M., and H.Q. Tian (2010), China's land cover and land use change from 1700 to 2005: Estimations from high-resolution satellite data and historical archives, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 24, GB3003, doi:10.1029/2009GB003687.
2010 Publications Tao B., H., Tian, G., Chen, W., Ren, C., Lu, K., Alley, X., Xu, M., Liu, S., Pan and H., Virji. Changes in carbon fluxes and pools induced by cropland expansion in South and Southeast Asia in the 20th century, 2010. Journal of Land Use Science (in review).
2009 Publications Song, C., Xu, X., Tian, H., Wang, Y., 2009. Ecosystem-atmosphere exchange of CH4 and N2O and ecosystem respiration in wetlands in the Sanjiang Plain, Northeastern China. Global Change Biology 15 692-705.
2009 NASA LCLUC Science Team Presentation Land Use –Ecosystem –Climate Interactions in Monsoon Asia: Evaluating the impacts of current and projected LCLUC on climate, water and carbon cycling in the first half of 21st Century
2008 Publications Liu, M.L., H.Q. Tian, G.S. Chen, C. Zhang, and J.Y. Liu (2008), Effects of land use and land cover change on evapotranspiration and water yield in China during the 20th century. J. Am. Water Resources Assoc. 44, 1193-1207.
2008 Publications Xu, X., Tian, H., Hui, D., 2008. Convergence in the relationship of CO2 and N2O exchanges between soil and atmosphere within terrestrial ecosystems. Global Change Biology 14(7) 1651-1660.
2008 Publications Lu, D., H.Q. Tian, G. Zhou, H. Ge. 2008. Regional mapping of human settlements with multisensory remotely sensed data. Remote Sensing of Environment 112:3668-3679.
2008 Publications Tian, H., J. Liu, J. M. Melillo, M. Liu, D. Kicklighter, X. Yan and S. Pan. 2008. The Terrestrial Carbon Budget in East Asia: Human and Natural Impacts. In: C. Fu, J. Freney and J. Steward (eds). Changes in the Human-Monsoon System of East Asia in the Context of Global Change. World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte.Ltd., Singapore, Hackensack, London. Pp. 163-176
2008 Publications Tian, HQ. X. Xu, C. Zhang, W. Ren, G. Chen, M. Liu, D. Lu and S. Pan. (2008) Forecasting and Assessing the Large-scale and Long-term Impacts of Global Environmental Change on Terrestrial Ecosystems in the United States and China. In: S. Miao, S. Carstenn, and M. Nungesser (Eds), Real World Ecology: large-scale and long-term case studies and methods. Springer-Verlag, New York. Pp. 235-266.
2005 Publications Liu, M., H.Q. Tian, G.S. Chen, W. Ren, C. Lu and X. Xu. Spatial and Temporal Variations of Water Fluxes in the Eastern China During 1961-2005. To be submitted to J. of Hydrology.